Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 14.752389 17.149499 19.755780 22.792629 26.226275 29.980357 34.387338
2025-08-17 10.397538 13.590814 17.415201 22.297260 28.324475 35.479824 44.571118
2025-08-24 7.797184 11.209538 15.624669 21.676566 29.664814 39.746976 53.316536
2025-08-31 5.943930 9.293568 13.929130 20.680790 30.105340 42.613646 60.250937
2025-09-07 5.037590 8.459778 13.471437 21.146525 32.358672 47.851303 70.516369
2025-09-14 4.333191 7.771364 13.072675 21.565237 34.481099 52.967470 80.887566
2025-09-21 3.605747 6.903011 12.251197 21.201080 35.346950 56.279772 88.852809
2025-09-28 2.982195 6.087539 11.378811 20.612235 35.748965 58.859039 95.831919
2025-10-05 2.818826 6.050412 11.771323 22.080309 39.454920 66.612241 110.969101
2025-10-12 2.626100 5.922486 11.980109 23.240207 42.728385 73.877624 125.760068
2025-10-19 2.338622 5.559297 11.715798 23.537379 44.567922 78.963712 137.410902
2025-10-26 2.070516 5.186999 11.380880 23.657809 46.088243 83.593063 148.552975
2025-11-02 1.748589 4.664624 10.734254 23.221628 46.754450 87.118033 158.577472
2025-11-09 1.459638 4.160790 10.061116 22.675832 47.212471 90.397209 168.552766
2025-11-16 1.211253 3.694365 9.388912 22.038886 47.423222 93.240189 177.950217
2025-11-23 0.978800 3.208135 8.589145 21.027473 46.799477 94.525806 184.694210
2025-11-30 0.879236 3.049995 8.502909 21.499755 49.095679 101.203526 201.265820
2025-12-07 0.789311 2.896835 8.402931 21.924481 51.321332 107.876668 218.182463
2025-12-14 0.670775 2.627414 7.973981 21.555058 51.874793 111.432703 229.615476
2025-12-21 0.560289 2.350469 7.476259 20.957679 51.880606 113.918416 239.180408
2025-12-28 0.548578 2.397427 7.839386 22.446966 56.484149 125.607310 266.578093
2026-01-04 0.524091 2.394351 8.065456 23.623488 60.486886 136.322382 292.623649
2026-01-11 0.471089 2.274231 7.945762 23.924902 62.563142 143.299852 311.831304